Take a look at the Electoral College map for 2012 when Barack Obama won 332 electoral votes and Mitt Romney 206. Remember that 270 are needed to get the big job.

In order to defeat Hillary Clinton, Trump would have to win all the states that Romney won and add at least three more large states. That will not be easy because west of the Mississippi, Trump does not play as well as he does in the east. So states like Arizona and Utah - which Romney carried - may be competitive.

Writing in the Wall Street Journal today, John Brabender, a Republican strategist, says that Trump's presidential hopes hinge on winning in Ohio, Pennsylvania and Florida.

According to recent polls, all of those states are in play. Trump could win them.

If Donald Trump prevails in Ohio, Pennsylvania and Florida and can fight off Hillary Clinton west of the Mississippi, he'll be president.

If Mr. Trump wins New York - which he thinks he can do - he will take up residence on Pennsylvania Avenue.

However New York is a very tough state for Republicans with so many minority voters.

The Trump card - pardon the pun - is anxiety. Most Americans are not happy with the direction their country has taken. In fact in a recent Associated Press poll 79% of Americans say they are frustrated with the country for various reasons.

If anxiety grows, and it well could with terror attacks, police assassinations and a very shaky economy, Trump will get stronger and will capitalize on the disenchantment.

That's because Hillary Clinton is a conventional candidate pretty much pledged to carrying on President Obama's policies.

Other recent polling has the race tied between Trump and Clinton. But as Talking Points has pointed out, those polls mean little at this point.

The debates begin in September and that will mean everything. But Donald Trump does have a chance a real chance to become President on the United States.