The O'Reilly Factor
A daily summary of segments aired on The O'Reilly Factor. A preview of the evening's rundown is posted before the show airs each weeknight.
Wednesday, April 13, 2016
The Factor Rundown
Talking Points Memo
Impact Segment
Personal Story
Unresolved Problems
Miller Time
Did You See That?
Factor Mail
Tip of the Day
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Comments
Is the Delegate System Destroying the GOP?
"It is becoming clear that many major Republican politicians might not attend the convention in Cleveland in July. The party is split over Donald Trump, who may very well secure the nomination. However, Mr. Trump believes the system is rigged against him - pointing to Colorado, where Ted Cruz got all the delegates last weekend without a traditional vote by the folks. His point is that votes from human beings should be the deciding factor in the primaries, but that has never been the case. The delegate system is chaos, with each state deciding what kind of selection process will take place. It's even worse in the Democratic Party, where so-called 'super delegates' can vote for whomever they want no matter who wins the direct voting. If Donald Trump is denied the nomination and has more votes than Ted Cruz or John Kasich, the Republican Party will fracture and Hillary Clinton will become the next president. Opponents of Trump believe that even though he is the vote leader right now, his support is thin nationwide. Most polling backs that up. So if he does get the nomination, the Republican Party could very well be slaughtered in November - not only on the presidential ticket, but also in the House and Senate. It also should be noted that, despite Mr. Trump's success, most Republican primary voters have not supported him. But his support is loyal and fervent. So this is one big mess. And while Bernie Sanders is offering a stiff challenge to Hillary Clinton on the Democrat side, there is no question that Mrs. Clinton will secure the nomination. On the Republican side it's either going to be Trump or Cruz, but neither candidate will have the support of the entire party."

The Factor invited reaction from political experts John Yob and Kyle Kondik. "In the four decades where voters have actually had a fair amount of control over the nominations for president," Kondik said, "the voters have offered a fairly clear verdict. But this time they are not offering a clear verdict and it will therefore default to the convention to decide the nominees." Yob dismissed Donald Trump's contention that the system is 'rigged' against him. "You have always needed a majority of the delegates to win the Republican nomination. You needed it in 1856 at the first Republican convention and you needed in 1976 at the Reagan-Ford convention. So this is much ado about nothing, and Donald Trump should stay focused on winning the upcoming primaries." But The Factor warned that Donald Trump will not bow out gracefully: "If Trump is ahead by a significant margin and doesn't get the nomination, he's not just going to say 'thanks' and go home to Mar-a-Lago. I don't see a happy ending here."
NY Primary & The Black Vote
Hillary Clinton, who has a huge lead among black voters in New York, tried to shore up her support Wednesday by speaking to Al Sharpton's organization, where she implied that systemic racism is still a major aspect of American life. FNC's Ed Henry was at the event. "She went through every major issue that African American voters care about," he reported, "and she took some veiled swipes at Bernie Sanders. She was warmly received, but Black Lives Matter protesters have been going after Bill Clinton because of the crime bill he signed in 1994." The Factor urged Democrats to deal with the real problems facing black Americans: "If you are a black child and you don't have supervision at home and you have a crumbling school to go to, you're up against it and you're most likely going to fail. The real racism is the failure to identify the real culprits, which are bad education and a culture that glorifies bad behavior."
Celebrity Endorsements
Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders have their celebrity supporters, and the rivalries are heating up. The Factor discussed the situation with entertainment reporter Janice Min. "It's getting personal and it's getting ugly," she reported. "Twitter is aflame with people having freak-outs. We saw this with a war between Sanders supporter Susan Sarandon and Debra Messing, who supports Clinton. This is a town of people with high emotions and everyone thinks they're right. But in the end, Hollywood will come together and vote against the Republican candidate."
Startling ISIS Survey
According to a survey taken in Arab nations, about four in five young people reject ISIS and its violence. On the other hand, that means one in five young Arabs is noncommittal or even supportive of the terrorist group. Monica Crowley and Eboni Williams crunched the numbers and their significance. "This does not surprise me," Crowley said, "because this is consistent with other polls that have come out in recent years. There are about 200-million Arabs who fall into the 18 - 24 age group, which means 23-million are sympathetic to ISIS at some level." Williams chose to look at the glass as half full. "I like the fact that 80% reject ISIS under all circumstances, but I don't even accept the premise of the question, which asks whether these young people would support ISIS if it was less violent. ISIS is intrinsically violent!"
Miller Takes a Look at the 2016 Field
After surveying the political landscape, Dennis Miller opined on the surviving Republicans. "I want to tell John Kasich," he quipped, "that Donald Trump gives speeches in airplane hangars, while Kasich gives speeches in closets surrounded by hangars. He talks about Trump being an egomaniac, but have you ever watched a Kasich speech? He always talks about this effect he has on people. It's amazing that he passes himself off as the 'every man,' when he seems really full of himself." Miller put forth a stark warning to the eventual 2016 winner. "Whoever gets in on either side, they best be prepared to operate in a Petri dish of hatred. We live in an age of the brass-knuckled pacifist and the closed-minded non-judgmental person. People who 'hate hate' now seem to be more hateful than people who merely hate. It is a hatefest out there!"
How Pervasive is Violence in the Classroom?
New videos surface on a daily basis documenting incidents of student-on-teacher violence across America. FNC anchor Martha MacCallum weighed in on the troubling issue. "Ten percent of teachers report that they have been threatened," she reported, "and six percent say they have been victims of violence. There is no indication that any dramatic change is coming, and in 2014 Secretary of Education Arne Duncan and Attorney General Eric Holder said they wanted the number of suspensions to go down because they felt it disproportionately affects blacks and Hispanic students. Suspensions have dropped by 17% and the result is that you can punch people, you can smoke pot in the bathroom, you can defy the dress code."
Viewers Sound Off
Factor Words of the Day
Michael Callahan, Phoenix, AZ: "Bill, it's not up to you to explain what a candidate can't do. What you're basically saying is there's no sense in trying."

Mike Fitzgerald, Nampa, ID: "Bill, your hubris and arrogance know no bounds! What Trump is capable of accomplishing would fill volumes."

Chuck Hill, Portland, OR: "Great Talking Points, Bill. Our Founding Fathers wisely limited the power of the president. But candidates get away with making promises they can't keep because many voters do not know how our system works."

David North, Yucca Valley, CA: "Bill, your Talking Points prove you favor established politicians. Too bad your viewers will never see this email."
Another 'Killing' on the Way
Bill announced the publication of his latest book. In 'Killing the Rising Sun,' he and Martin Dugard scrutinize the final months of the war against Japan and the decision to drop atomic bombs on Japan. The book will make its debut on September 13th.